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IBS Master Strategy

Inspired by Linda Raschke

average rating is 4.4 out of 5

DEVELOPED BY

MICHAŁ ZAREMBA

IBS Master draws inspiration from the experiences of Linda Raschke described in the book Street Smarts: High Probability Short-Term Trading.

Inspiration


The original strategy was used by the Linda Raschke for intraday trading, but here we have an implementation that has successfully stood the test of time in stocks. The foundation of the strategy is the IBS (Internal Bar Strength) indicator, but the strategy includes a specific way of using this indicator and filters that increase its effectiveness.


Key Components


  • Reversal in an uptrend. The essence of this strategy is the ability to detect specific pullbacks in an uptrend. The strategy utilizes typical market behavior in stocks for reversals and temporary pullbacks, expecting the trend to continue.

  • IBS as the foundation. As the name suggests, Internal Bar Strength is a key element of the IBS Master strategy. It helps identify patterns leading to price reversals and finds potential reversal points. The IBS Master strategy includes additional conditions and filters that activate and deactivate based on certain conditions.

  • The Stockpicker mechanism searches and automatically selects stocks that meet the entry criteria.



Backtest 1, $ Money Management


In this variant, we invest a constant amount of $100k, which is divided by the maximum number of open positions (15). This results in a capital commitment of up to $6.7k per position.


We are testing the period of the last 30 years, covering years from 1994 to February 2025. The backtest automatically selects stocks that meet the criteria from the S&P 500 index. It's important to note that the list of stocks in the index changed over the years, which is taken into account in the Stockpicker data (survivorship bias).


  • Invested capital: $100k

  • Test period (years): 30

  • Tested years: 1994-02.2025

  • Tested Index: S&P 500


Equity chart for this test:

Illustration 1: Capital curve of the strategy from 1994 to February 2025 and the corresponding maximum open drawdowns in $
Illustration 1: Capital curve of the strategy from 1994 to February 2025 and the corresponding maximum open drawdowns in $

Basic statistics and results month by month:

Illustration 2: Basic statistics and results of the IBS Master strategy month by month
Illustration 2: Basic statistics and results of the IBS Master strategy month by month
Illustration 3: Strategy efficiency in $ month by month (by closed trades)
Illustration 3: Strategy efficiency in $ month by month (by closed trades)
Illustration 4: Graphical representation of the strategy's profit and loss distribution, including monthly, daily, and weekly results, plus transaction statistics and effectiveness by close time
Illustration 4: Graphical representation of the strategy's profit and loss distribution, including monthly, daily, and weekly results, plus transaction statistics and effectiveness by close time

Click the button to see the latest backtest:



Backtest 2, % Money Management


In this backtest, we are investing in a strategy that constantly uses 100% of the current capital (starting with $100k capital). This means that as the capital grows or decreases, the position value changes proportionally. The rest of the parameters remain unchanged.


The equity chart for this test looks as follows. The chart includes a benchmark line (yellow).

A red line on the chart is an Open Drawdown line.

Illustration 5: Comparison of capital curves of strategy and benchmark for MM%
Illustration 5: Comparison of capital curves of strategy and benchmark for MM%

Basic statistics resulting from the test:

Illustration 6: Basic statistics of the strategy with percentage capital management
Illustration 6: Basic statistics of the strategy with percentage capital management
Illustration 7: Monthly strategy results as percentages compared to the benchmark (open daily equity is used).
Illustration 7: Monthly strategy results as percentages compared to the benchmark (open daily equity is used).

Trading strategy analysis


Net Profit and CAGR


The net profit above $16 million in the analyzed period is almost 10x higher than the benchmark (S&P 500 Index in the form of SPY ETF marked in yellow on the chart), which is above $2 million. This translates to a CAGR of 17.95% vs 10.42%. This means that the analyzed strategy IBS Master achieves significantly higher net profit and a higher average annual return, indicating its exceptional efficiency in generating profits over the long term.


Drawdown and Return/Drawdown Ratio


The max open drawdown in the analyzed strategy was -26% vs -55.19% in the benchmark, resulting in a much better Return/Open Drawdown ratio of 10.79 vs 5.06. This indicates that the analyzed strategy is less risky and more stable because the maximum capital drawdown is smaller, leading to better risk management compared to the benchmark.


Exposure


The average exposure in the analyzed strategy was 64% vs 100% in the benchmark. The study was conducted on the underlying instrument, which is the S&P 500 index stocks. Exposure is measured by a dedicated study. The analyzed strategy used less capital on average and therefore was less exposed to market risk, with the remaining capital available for use in other strategies. You can read about exposure here.


Winning Percent


The winning percent in the analyzed strategy was 64.3%. This means that most of transactions were profitable, highlighting the effectiveness of the strategy in generating positive results and giving the user greater confidence in the frequency of profit generation.


SL & TP


The strategy doesn't use a typical stop-loss and relies on an exit condition. But you can add an SL if it makes you more comfortable. Instead, diversifying positions within a single strategy and across the whole portfolio helps protect against the significant impact of a potential price change in one stock on the entire portfolio. Visit the stop loss order page.


Market Regime


The strategy was tested in all basic market regimes and includes filters implemented based on this. Read more about market regimes.


Trading Costs


Trading costs and slippage were taken into account in the backtests. You can check our last research about trading costs using Alpaca Broker here. With a diversified portfolio of stocks and strategies, transaction costs can determine your profit or loss, so take the time to thoroughly test and choose a broker.


Robustness


We tested the robustness by executing all possible stock transactions for the Nasdaq100 and Russell1000 indexes from 1994 to 2025. For the Nasdaq100, we allowed a maximum of 50 open positions, resulting in 7,688 transactions. For the Russell1000, we allowed up to 100 open positions, leading to 57,428 transactions at %MM.

This strategy passed our manual parameter modification tests. We believe that fewer parameters lead to greater robustness. Therefore, we strive to keep our strategies simple, using only parameters that significantly impact effectiveness and align with the strategy's character.


Nasdaq100 max transactions: 7'688

Russell1000 max transactions: 57'428


The results are as follows:

Illustration 8: Performance analysis of Nasdaq 100 and Russell 1000 indexes from 1994 to 2025 covers total profits, annual returns, and drawdowns
Illustration 8: Performance analysis of Nasdaq 100 and Russell 1000 indexes from 1994 to 2025 covers total profits, annual returns, and drawdowns

Recommended Instruments


The recommended primary instrument for this strategy in Algocloud Stockpicker are companies in the S&P 500 index, which have shown the best historical results. However, the strategy also performs well with stocks in the Nasdaq 100.


Pattern Day Trader


Statistically, the strategy closed 11.97% of trades on the same day, meeting the Pattern Day Trader (PDT) criteria. This means that a real account with a minimum of $25k is required for the entire portfolio. Pattern Day Trader


Correlation


To check the correlation of the strategy with others, visit the correlations page.


Summary & Strengths and Weaknesses of the strategy


Strengths of the strategy:


  • Profit size and stability. In the analyzed strategy, the net profit was nearly 10 times higher than the benchmark ($16 million vs. $2 million). The CAGR was 17.95%, much higher than the benchmark's 10.42%.

  • Low drawdown.  The Max Open Drawdown in the analyzed strategy was 26%, compared to 55% in the benchmark. This indicates the strategy was less risky and more stable.

  • Low correlation. The strategy has a unique driver and shows a relatively low correlation to other reversal strategies.

  • High winning percentage. 64% of trades ended in profit, demonstrating the strategy's effectiveness and increasing confidence in its use.

  • Robustness. The strategy was tested on the Nasdaq 100 and Russell 1000 indices, achieving a maximum of 7,688 and 57,428 trades, respectively.

Weaknesses of the strategy:


  • Capital engagement. The strategy requires a relatively higher capital engagement compared to other strategies (64%).

  • Percentage of same-day trades. A downside of the strategy is the percentage of trades closed on the same day, which is almost 12%. This may lead to meeting the Pattern Day Trader conditions mentioned above.

Summary


Over 30 years, the IBS Master strategy had only 2 losing years, which is impressive. It shows high efficiency and a unique profile with low correlation to most reversal strategies. Historically, it has maintained relatively low risk and high stability. It can definitely be a strong addition to a portfolio of strategies.



What you receive in the package for this strategy:


  • An e-book presenting detailed rules and results of the strategy.

  • An SQX file ready to use on platforms like Algocloud and StrategyQuant.

  • Pseudocode describing all rules in an easy-to-understand manner.

  • IBS indicator for TradingView.

Disclaimer

 

The results obtained from historical data do not guarantee future outcomes. The effectiveness of a strategy can change over time. Backtesting is a tool that allows for the analysis and evaluation of an investment strategy based on historical data. Various factors, such as market changes or economic conditions, can influence the effectiveness of a strategy over time.

Investing always involves risk. This material is not investment advice. We share our experience and algorithms for educational purposes. We make efforts to ensure that our algorithms are error-free, but neither we nor the tools we use guarantee the absence of technical issues. Any decisions to use a particular strategy are made at your own risk and should be preceded by careful understanding and verification. You should always carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making investment decisions.

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